از بین ۳۶ نفر از معامله گران و تحليل گران بلومبرگ، ۱۷ نفر از آنها پيشنهاد فروش طلا را که هفته گذشته ۹/۳ درصد افزايش يافته بود را دادند و ۱۰ نفر خريد طلا را توصیه کردند و ۹نفر نظر ممتنع داشتند .
Gold Gains as Recent Fall Seen Overdone; Silver Little Changed
By Jae Hur and Debarati Roy
June 11 (Bloomberg) -- The price of gold rose in Asia as investors bet last week's decline, the largest fall in more than three months, was overdone. Silver was little changed.
The spot gold price fell 3.4 percent last week, the biggest weekly decline since March 2, after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the European Central Bank raised rates. Holding gold becomes less attractive when interest rates rise because the metal has no fixed returns.
``We saw a mild gain in gold prices,'' said Tatsuo Kageyama, an analyst at Kanetsu Asset Management in Tokyo. ``It's just a technical rebound after last week's sharp decline.''
Gold for immediate delivery rose as much as 0.5 percent to $651.89 an ounce, and traded at $651.85 at 11:48 a.m. Mumbai time. The price fell 1.6 percent to close at $648.85 on June 8 after trading as low as $644.55, the lowest since March 15.
Last week, spot gold lost $22.90 on speculation that higher global interest rates will reduce demand for the precious metal as an alternative investment.
Traders assign a 44 percent chance that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise rates 25 basis points by December as of June 7, compared with zero chance a month ago, according to options on Fed funds futures.
``If the gold market fails to hold the $650 level, we may see the price test $640 and then $634 in the short time,'' said Kageyama.
Oil Prices
A decline of 3.2 percent in New York crude oil prices on June 8 also put pressure on gold prices, Kageyama said. Gold often moves in tandem with oil as it is viewed by some investors as a hedge against energy-driven inflation.
Crude oil for July delivery rose 0.4 percent to $64.93 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 11:49 a.m. Mumbai time.
In Japan, gold for delivery in April 2008 fell 15 yen, or 0.6 percent to 2,577 yen per gram ($659 an ounce), at close of trade on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange. The contract fell by its daily 60-yen price limit on June 8.
Gold for August delivery rose $5.20, or 0.8 percent, to $655.50 an ounce at 12:55 p.m. Singapore time in electronic trading on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
`Temporary Pullback'
In India, the price of the metal for August delivery fell 0.14 percent to 8,772 rupees per 10 grams ($667 an ounce) at 12:24 p.m. Mumbai time on the Multi Commodity Exchange.
Seventeen of the 36 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg from Sydney to Chicago on June 7 and June 8 advised selling gold, which fell 3.9 percent to $650.30 an ounce last week on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Ten said to buy, and nine were neutral.
``Today's pullback is temporary and I would expect gold to come down to $635 level,'' Si Kannan, an analyst at Sharekhan Commodities Pvt. in Mumbai, said. ``Funds are selling as there is speculation that U.S. may raise rates.''
Silver for immediate delivery climbed 5 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $13.15 an ounce at 11:54 a.m. Mumbai time.
A futures contract is an obligation to buy or sell a commodity at a set price for delivery by a specific date.
To contact the reporters on this story: Jae Hur in Singapore at jhur1@bloomberg.net ; Debarati Roy in Mumbai at droy5@bloomberg.net .
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